Oct 3, 2012 3:00am PDT
romney can give all of these voters an excuse to vote for him, right? >> yeah, we talked about this yesterday on the show. if he can go in -- that's why i worry about all this talk about zingers, just stylistically. don't be someone you're not. don't come in with canned jokes. be who you are, which is the line he delivered, i thought, well in his convention speech where he said, i can't heal the earth. i'm not going to part the seas, whatever he said. i just want to help you and your family. i'm not fancy, i'm not exciting. i want this job because i can do a better job healing the economy, not the earth, healing the economy than he has done for the last 3 1/2 years. if he can do that, be confident, don't try to be slick or funny, it's not who you are, just be mitt romney, he'll have a good night. >> i think he'll have a good night. i'll tell you this also, mark mckinnon. we're going to hear about the 47% from barack obama tonight. he'll bring that up. i also think mitt romney will bring this up in the debate. something that was spoken yesterday in charlotte, north carolina, by
Oct 5, 2012 3:00am PDT
channel. coincidence, right? >> gretchen: both democrats and republicans said mitt romney won the debate. >> steve: most accurate polls are expected next week. instant polls. one pound found 67 percent of the voters thought mitt romney won and 25 percent thought president obama. was it a much-needed gamer. allor - author of the here comes the black helicopters . the loss of freedom. dick, how big of a bounce will mr. romney get? >> i would think four or five points. according to the current polls, that would take him from two or three behind to two or three ahead. in reality it will take him five nationally and put him in the lead significantly in florida and virge virge - virginia and a smaller lead in ohio. i did a study with my friend johnn, a fellow pollster and he looked at exit polls when voters came out of the voting booth. they were asked what is yourr party reference? democrats had a one point edge . went to 13 surveys done by the media in september, and he found in those, there was a combined 8 point democratic edge. those polls are 7 points wrong . so when they show in ohio th
Oct 3, 2012 6:00am EDT
. but senior citizens are the strongest element of romney's coalition. doing very well with them right now. >> john, i know that every day as we get closer to the election, we need things to talk about, and the polls are all we have. how many people was this, 849 or something? what's the number? >> you talking about the national poll? >> yeah, either one. >> in the swing state polls, we do 1,300 registered voters. >> doesn't matter what the actual numbers are. i remember taking statistics, so i understand standard -- i understand how they try to make it scientific. but you know what i'm saying. you take any 900 people at any given tile and you think about 200 million people, whatever it is, but then we microanalyze the moist minute details because that's what we do as journalists. i can give you polls -- i saw a poll last week that had -- it was plus-four for the president, and then another one was down six. it was an individual state. and then you got the deviations between rasmussen consistently and some of the other, whether it's quinnipiac or the other ones. that's all we got, though.
Oct 2, 2012 3:00am PDT
of the ball to the delivery of the plate. mitt romney's got to find precisely the right arm slot. aggression with the right amount of respect for a popular president. he's got to figure out a way to flush out his agenda without getting to the unpopular parts he's been avoiding talking about like what are the tax breaks he's going to take to get the rates down. he's got to be on offense but not too much. it's hard. everything went right for george bush in 2000. gore was bad, he had orange make-up. he got in bush's face, that didn't go very well. bush overperformed, no foreign policy experience, he did very well. and the bush team outspun the gore people because they pushed their story line. and you went from, you know, minus five before the debate to plus a couple afterward and went on to win that disputed victory. but yes, romney can do it, he was a smart guy, good in most of the debates for the republicans. on the other hand, obama's pretty smart too and there's not much expectation to think he's going to screw up. >> what about, john, playing to that dull incompetent thing? he said in his